Russia's military strategy has at times been beset with logistical problems, confusing the picture of what Russia's main or immediate goals are The analysts predicted refugee flows of 5 million to 10 million people from Ukraine to Western Europe However https//click4rcom/posts/g/16441354/ 's widely expected that Russian President Vladimir Putin, loathing Ukraine's current pro-Western government and its aspirations to join the EU and NATO, wants to install a pro-Russian regime in Kyiv Close watchers of the Russia-Ukraine war say the fluid and rapidly changing nature of the conflict makes it hard to gauge what will happen next in Ukraine, with both Moscow's and the West's next moves unpredictable

Many experts I consulted, however, advised girding for a struggle that could last a lot longer, even if the war in its more acute form resolves sooner His message was that progress has been slow, painful and limited, though he expressed hope that might change Mykhailo Podolyak, another close adviser to President Zelensky, agreed there were "several groups of people who want to take power in Russia" The drama over the border in Russia has hardened the view in Kyiv that Mr Putin's time as Russia's president is coming to an end

With Western hesitancy bolstering Russia, and in the absence of either a coup or a health-related issue leading to Putin's demise, the only foreseeable outcome will be a negotiated settlement that for now both sides continue to refuse For democracies, long-term consensus in support for war has always been more complicated than for autocrats with no accountability The EU's decision to open membership talks with Ukraine and Moldova is more than just symbolic It implicitly means continued backing for Kyiv, as a future in the EU for Ukraine would be impossible with a full-blown victory for Russia

When will the war in Ukraine end One year on, we answer your questions about the conflict

Mr Putin could declare Western arms supplies to Ukrainian forces are an act of aggression that warrant retaliation He could threaten to send troops into the Baltic states - which are members of Nato - such as Lithuania, to establish a land corridor with the Russian coastal exclave of Kaliningrad By early summer Ukraine will be able to use US-made F16 fighter jets for the first time, which it hopes will improve its ability to counter Russian aircraft and strengthen its own air defences

how will the ukraine conflict end

Yet it would be so much more likely than the present one to renounce its post-invasion territorial gains, though perhaps not Russian-majority Crimea, which, in the era of the Soviet Union, was part of the Russian republic until, in 1954, it was transferred to the Ukrainian republic by fiat Ever since the war began, commentators and Western leaders, including President Biden, have intimated that it should produce, if not “regime change” in Russia, then Putin’s departure And there have been no shortage of predictions that the invasion will indeed prove Putin’s death knell There’s no evidence, however, that the war has turned his country’s political and military elite against him or any sign of mass disaffection that could threaten the state

NATO vs Russia

Polls in Ukraine show that the public overwhelmingly rejects concessions to Russia “Essentially once the West made a decision that Ukraine is important … it had to support them to the end, and that means the Ukrainians are the ones who will decide when they’re going to stop,” he said The war and Western sanctions have damaged Russia’s society and economy, but Moscow has blunted the worst effects and is unlikely to be left so weak as to be unable to pursue the war

In response, companies on both sides of the Atlantic announced plans to restart production lines for artillery shells and other weapons considered somewhat arcane until recently One key question that could determine the war’s end game is how long Ukraine’s backers can keep up their arms donations to Kyiv But another McCarthy concession — a procedure allowing 218 members to force a House floor vote on any bill — could present an opportunity for pro-Ukraine Republicans and Democrats to pass additional funding for Kyiv Smith indicated he disagrees with the Biden administration’s decision not to send long-range missiles, noting every Ukrainian official assured him they would not use them to attack Russia

One ex senior minister suggested to me that there was a generational divide between those who had lived with the threat of the Cold War era, and those who had not The former minister, currently a serving Conservative MP, pointed out that the prime minister grew up without that existential threat Yet the Army is already looking at how it might create a citizens' army One Whitehall source told the Times that the training of Ukrainian civilians on UK soil could act as a rehearsal for rapid Army expansion Cuts have already seen the size of the British Army fall from more than 100,000 in 2010 to around 73,000 now Gen Sanders said that within the next three years the British Army needed to be 120,000 strong with the addition of reserves

Just ask Austria's Archduke Franz Ferdinand, whose improbable assassination in Sarajevo sparked World War I As a result, Russia essentially stopped flying fighter jets over Ukraine Numbers are hard to come by, but Russia had an estimated 1,500 fighter jets before the war began and still has the vast majority of them, probably 1,400 or more After Russia first invaded in 2014, the US military stepped up training for the Ukrainian military in western Ukraine US trainers continued working in Ukraine right up until the full-scale Russian invasion a year ago Many Russian nationalists, though, perceive Ukraine as a breakaway region of greater Russia

But they note it's crucial for Ukraine to be able to show at least some gains in order to maintain Western support for the war into 2024 — and perhaps beyond He judges that continuing the war may be a greater threat to his leadership than the humiliation of ending it China intervenes, putting pressure on Moscow to compromise, warning that it will not buy Russian oil and gas unless it de-escalates Meanwhile, the Ukrainian authorities see the continuing destruction of their country and conclude that political compromise might be better than such devastating loss of life

European countries have largely outsourced much of their military capacity and thinking on strategy and security to the States through NATO Phillips P OBrien, professor of strategic studies at the University of St Andrews, wrote in an analysis piecenbsp;that the potential return of Donald Trump to the White House could see the US "neuter" the Western military alliance Alexei Kulemzin said Ukraine was behind the strike on the eastern Ukrainian city, which is currently under Russian occupation Many in the international community feared that the conflict could spread outside of Ukraine’s borders Andrew Cottey, a professor in the Department of Government and Politics at University College Cork, gave Euronews three possible outcomes for the war

The fierce determination of the Ukrainian people up to this point suggests that this will not occur any time soon To a lesser extent, Putin is dependent on the support of the general population The public is bearing the costs of war in the form of inflation, economic decline and battlefield deaths This suggests that the two sides will have difficulty ever resolving the information problem When this happens, countries often end up fighting wars of attrition that last until one side gives up It was largely apparent that Russia’s army was and is far superior to Ukraine’s in terms of stockpiles of weapons and number of personnel